Anything to do with investments and those that provide and shape them

Lingerie Retail that went Bust

1951: Company She Keeps – Cromwell
The world of retail is a complicated one. La Senza, the UK lingerie retailer was placed into administration this week. A sign of poor trading conditions on the high street and perhaps a reminder that sometimes “niche marketing” is not always the right solution for every economic condition and where larger retailers such as Debenhams and Marks and Spencer have the advantage of a wider product line. That said, this is an “odd one” given today’s news that Tesco has had the worst Christmas for 20 years. This calls into question the management of retailers as it certainly does not seem as simple as product range (either narrow or broad) as John Lewis and Waitrose continue to demonstrate good business models and management.  As for La Senza, KPMG the administrators have already sold La Senza to Alshaya UK originally from Kuwait and who manages many well known brands. Perhaps this is coincidental to the news last week that Saudi Arabia has finally permitted women to sell lingerie (previously only male retailers were able to perform this role). One might be left to wonder if retailers are changing the world or the consumer?
The apparent failure of La Senza is surprising. The UK lingerie market was worth nearly £3bn in 2010. Key Note published data in February last year suggesting that the market was overcrowded with too many retailers providing essentially the same thing. However they report continuous growth and the planned arrival of Victoria’s Secret to high streets in 2012, which they suggest will create further competition. Yet Victoria’s Secret are a part of the same American company Limited Brands whose share price has been on a steady rise since 2009. Limited Brands largely operate businesses on a franchise or license basis, La Senza is actually a Canadian company, it is just the British franchise that has gone into administration. The UK company was originally set up by Dragon’s Den Theo Paphitis who sold the company in 2006 for an estimated £100m to private equity company Lion Capital. Lion Capital have stakes in many other well known brands such as Wagamama, Jimmy Choo, Weetabix, Findus Group and Amerian Apparel to name a few. Mr Paphitis, who clearly as an eye for timing, now runs Boux Avenue (another lingerie company) amongst many other ventures.
Whatever your thoughts about retail, it is certainly a world where brands are clearly powerful. However, I suspect that many will not appreciate quite how complex and interwoven global retail really is. The British high street is no more British than anything else it would seem.
 
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
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Lingerie Retail that went Bust2023-12-01T12:48:13+00:00

Repeat, Repeat, Repeat, Repeat?



2011: The Iron Lady – Phyllida Lloyd



There’s a touch of deja-vu about at the moment. I’m struck by the posters of the new “Iron Lady” film starring Meryl Streep as Margaret Thatcher and the general 1980’s fashion look on the streets of London. Add to this a couple of days of football “legends” returning to help their old teams progress in the FA Cup (a competition that has lost significant shine over the years). Throw in a few Unions threatening industrial action over a dispute about pensions, mining companies taking centre stage in the business news,a Labour party in opposition with an apparently unpopular leader and there is a general sense of… haven’t we seen all this before? Well yes we have… and no we haven’t (its still panto season).
Yes we have, in the sense that invariably we see the same repeating patterns in history, repeating because the basic human condition has altered very little. Of course, things are different – we don’t know what will happen, what the outcome will be is open to hours of discussion and phone-in (why?). We do know that people and nations are essentially self-serving, hence the repetition. Politicians may be talking about new capitalism, but talk is cheap (as are words on a blog). We are in new territory with the Euro in a mess and Europe on the brink of significant financial chaos. Britain in “splendid isolation“? only time will tell, but rest assured that I am reviewing portfolios in light of a current climate that looks bleak… though a glance back at the stock markets in the 1980’s may provide some reassurance in the big picture sense.
As we begin another new year and I meet with clients to plan for the future, there is often a sense of familiarity and comfort drawn from the fact that values don’t change and are embedded within a good financial plan. Goals may alter a little, sometimes a lot, due to changes that none of us can control, but the values that underpin a strategy do not. It is helpful to reclarify what these are and why they are important, uniquely to the client in question. A review meeting may at first glance appear to be a repeat, but in practice is a deeper refining of an outward looking plan.
 
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Repeat, Repeat, Repeat, Repeat?2023-12-01T12:48:14+00:00

The Old and New Year

2009: 2012 – Robert Emmerich
Well, after a week of catching up, I’m now able to grap a reflective moment. I hope that your Christmas break was enjoyable and that you are suitably refreshed for a challenging 2012. Taking a quick year end recap, the main market indicies closed 2011 in the following manner.
FTSE 100 closed at…………….. 5,572
FTSE Allshare closed at…………2,857
Nikkei 225 closed at……………. 8,455
Dow Jones closed at………….. 12,217
Shanghai closed at ……………….2,199
Hang Seng closed at …………..18,434
CAC 40 closed at ……………….3,159
Bank deposit rates didn’t move much at all in 2011, unless of course you were borrowing money as a European nation. The rest of us here in the UK can ponder inflation rates at around 5% whilst interest rates are well below this level, meaning that in real terms the value of savings reduced. The current “best deals” are as follows, again please remember that this is merely a guide, not advice, you should chekc the detail and as I have said on numerous occassions – check the terms and conditions. Please also heed the warning not to hold “too much” with any single bank – details about compensation and protections can be found at the FSCS website.
One Year Deposit
Building Society: Barnsley 5.00%
Two Year Deposit
Building Society: Dunfermline 3.90%
Instant Access
Building Society: Nottingham 3.25%
Cash ISA – Fixed Rate
Building Society: Barnsley 5.00%
Cash ISA – Variable Rate
Building Society: Newcastle 3.05%
Wishing you a prosperous 2012.
 
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
The Old and New Year2023-12-01T12:48:15+00:00

Busy Little Bee

2009: Vanishing of the Bees – Langworthy
As the countdown to Christmas continues and the anxiety about whether parcels from online retailers will turn up in time, many of us will be finding the tempo significantly increases in preparation for the Christmas “break”. Like busy bees many of us will be going from one task to another in the merry-go-round of shopping, wrapping and cooking. Taking a moment is now the real luxury.
As I begin to count (not really) the emailed Christmas wishes, I’m reminded that we get what we measure. Sadly many people (and organisations) measure the wrong things. In the context of financial services, our industry is awash with outrage as yet more duff companies and products that very few financial advisers sold are expected to subsidise by way of compensation. Now there is even the suggestion that UK advisers will be asked to pay compensation to Americans that invested in MF Global (whose demise I blogged about a few weeks ago). The FSCS have issued a warning that IFAs may need to find a few million more – perhaps 40, perhaps 100..we will know in the new year.
As I regularly meet with other advisers at conferences etc increasingly I am left with the impression that there will be a significant culling over the next 12 months. Many are tired of an industry that seems to only ever be wise after the event, never learns and applies rules retrospectively. There is a very real sense that only a few of us will be left standing. I want to make it clear that I intend to continue to work for my clients for many years to come. The IFA may become an endangered species – rather like the humble bee.
Bees are under serious threat and it is not really clear why. Bees play a significant and vital part in pollination (you know that). We take them for granted and tend to underestimate their importance. IFAs are not bees. I would prefer to save bees than IFAs (no contest) most IFAs are creative enough to find alternative ways to earn a living – but without bees, one begins to wonder if life would be considerably “less” and not in the sense that less is more, but less is most definitely less. Anyway, I came across this website (vanishing bees) and a new film about the plight of bees, which may be worth a look. As for IFAs – well hopefully common sense within financial services will prevail one day – though that day may be well past my time, but I certainly hope that 2012 will be a better year for investors, IFAs and bees. I doubt anyone would adopt an IFA, but you can adopt a beehive from the British Beekeepers Association.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Busy Little Bee2023-12-01T12:48:23+00:00

Homeless for Christmas? Past, Present and Future

1997: The Borrowers – Peter Hewitt
The FSA are reported to be claiming that repossession increased 5.88% from 9,134 to 9,670 between the third quarters of 2010 and 2011. However the Council of Mortgage Lenders state that the figure is 9,200 for the third quarter of 2011 compared to 8,900 for the same period in 2010. The CML figures would suggest a rise of 3.3% over the year. It is possible that the difference in figures is due to the fact that CML cover 94% of the residential lending market, not all of it. Back in 2010 there were 11.4million mortgages in the UK with loans amounting to £1.2trillion. In 2011 there are 11.2 million mortgages in the UK with loans amounting to £1.2trillion (no difference).
Perhaps in the big scheme of things, the difference in the numbers is fairly inconsequential – unless of course you are someone that has been repossessed. These figures are useful indicators about the health of the economy. We currently have the lowest interest rates for many years, yet clearly for some people mortgage payments are still too onerous. Indeed the CML would argue that their data for October 2011 shows that mortgages are the most affordable that they have been in 8 years. In October of the 28,000 mortgages taken up and £4,500m borrowed across the country the average mover took out a 69% mortgage equating to 2.89 times gross income with payments costing 9.2% of income. The typical first time buyer (all 16,400 of them) borrowed a total of £2,000m (average £121,950) with a 20% deposit (£30,500) and had an average income of £38,110 – which is above the national average wage. Lending levels fell by 10% against the September 2011 figures for first time buyers.
The Christmas nativity reminds us of a couple that ended up in a stable and whilst the forecasters appear to have over-estimated the figures for repossessions, they are still very high and over 102 a day. Making sure that your financial planning is properly budgeted is vital to avoid the sort of pressures that some fall victim to. That’s why each year we issue a Financial Statement, showing our clients precisely where there money has been spent – but this should be a tool for also looking forward and planning spending in 2012 which ought to take account of yesterdays announcement that CPI is 4.8% and RPI 5.2%. Preparation is everything.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Homeless for Christmas? Past, Present and Future2023-12-01T12:48:23+00:00

RBS, £45billion and Nobody to Blame?

2002: Catch Me If You Can – Spielberg
The depressing news today is that the £45.5bn  or so that you and I (and the rest of the country) coughed up to pay for RBS cannot be blamed on anyone in particular. The regulator has admitted to a raft of mistakes regulating RBS, but seems to have slightly side-stepped taking responsibility suggesting that Mr Brown’s light touch approach, a general widespread belief about the stability of the financial system and having limited skills, experience and resources were all contributing factors. In addition, legal advice was presented that essentially says you cannot prosecute for a law that does not exist.
RBS seem guilty of being “somewhat foolish” (massive understatement) in their assessment of ABN AMRO who they took over without adequate due diligence (which comprised of two lever arch files and a CD) and was funded the purchase with debt. According to the Chairman of the FSA, this degree of due diligence is typical of contested takeovers (gulp, surely the big Accountancy firms would not be guilty of yet another Enron?). The 452 page report will probably leave most wondering how on earth many of the “glaring errors” were not picked up before. IFAs are pretty livid citing the fact that had an IFA been responsible for such systemic poor governance, they would be fined heavily and probably have their license revoked permanently. They have a point, but clearly have not even attempted to read the report but simply respond to industry media headlines, which sadly will simply provide further belief that few of them actually do any proper research before commenting.
The FSA Chairman’s forward to the report makes interesting reading and states that the “RBS executive and Board were ultimately responsible”. So there it is – the RBS Board are/were responsible for basically being pretty hopeless, these people are listed on page 342 of the report, Appendix 2H, however a word of caution, not all were in-situ during the two key “hostile” takeovers of NatWest and ABN Amro.
I believe that the FSA are to be congratulated on a thorough report, one that offers much very valuable information to any organisation – small or large. Whilst the world remains in difficult economic conditions, surely we should be learning from the recent mistakes and ensuring that they are not repeated.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
RBS, £45billion and Nobody to Blame?2023-12-01T12:48:24+00:00

FTSE 100 – Top of the Pops

1965: Life at the Top – Kotcheff
The FTSE 100 index had its quarterly review on Wednesday and saw three companies dropped from the index (Investec, Lonmin and Inmarsat) replaced by CRH, Evraz and Polymetal International. The index is reviewed every quarter (every day would simply create an unnecessary administrative burden as companies towards the bottom of the top 100 list would alter far too often). The FTSE100 is based on the largest UK listed companies, by value. It includes well known names and companies that most people would not have heard of.
Lonmin, is the worlds third largest platinum mining company, based in South Africa. The latest results for the company revealed improvements in profit and debt reduction against 2010 figures. However its share price has gradually collapsed to about half value over the last 12 months.
Inmarsat are a satellite company – the space technology type. The company was promoted to the FTSE100 in September 2008 but has now been “relegated” though this information does not appear on their website. The third quarter 2011 figures show improving revenue, up nearly 18% to $364m, however the share price has fallen around 40% over the year.
Investec are an investment company originally from South Africa. They provide financial products here in the UK and of course globally. You might have seen their adverts which tend to include a zebra. They would describe themselves as a specialist bank and asset manager. In the UK and Europe they manage around £45bn where operating profits increased by 8% in their last financial year. However their share price has also fallen significantly this year – by around 30%.
As a result, these three companies have dropped out of the FTSE100, which means that anyone with a UK FTSE100 tracker fund will have minor adjustments being made. The replacements are Evraz, a steel company with significant production in Russia. A theme continued with the inclusion of Polymetal International, a precious metals mining company with significant production in Russia and Kazakhstan. CRH are a building materials company with its HQ in Ireland. It was originally formed as a merger between Cement Ltd and Roadstone Ltd in 1970.
Never forget the adage – where there’s muck there’s brass.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
FTSE 100 – Top of the Pops2023-12-01T12:48:25+00:00

Funds: Blackrock Cash

1955: Bad Day at Black Rock – Sturges
Blackrock are amending the investment objective of their Cash Fund. This is a fund that investors tend to use for short-term holdings or something akin to a deposit fund. The changes come into effect on 30th December 2011. I am not unduly concerned by this change, but will be keeping an open mind, there are numerous alternatives for a similar fund, but this is one of the better ones generally. If you have holdings in this fund and want to discuss the changes with me please get in touch – though I suspect it will not be high on the Christmas “to do” list. If I believe that a change should be made I will write to you about this. I do not believe that there is anything to be particularly concerned about, however the timing of the announcement could have been rather better than during the run up to Christmas.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Funds: Blackrock Cash2023-12-01T12:48:26+00:00

Christmas Turkey – Measure and Weigh

1948: Sorry Wrong Number – Litvak
First Direct have published some research into Christmas present plans. The danger of any survey is what is read into the data, which in this instance was a survey of 1,000 people. The survey revealed that 280 people (28%) were expecting to receive money this Christmas – with an average sum of £83 each. This is a higher sum and greater proportion than the same survey last year.
The financial services industry, being keen to find a headline, interpret this as £1.2bn in cash gifts this year. However, by my maths I make 28% of a 62.3m population 17.4m people, each in receipt of an average £83 makes a sum of £1,447,852,000. A British £bn is meant to be a million, million or 1,000,000,000,000 (12 zeros). An American billion is a thousand million (1,000,000,000). So I guess the survey is either £247m  (American) off the mark or if you use the British £bn, then £1,198,552,148,000 off the mark… but hey what’s a few million in the detail!
Payyourway.org produce a similar survey but with rather different results – claiming that Christmas cash will be worth £2.4bn. Their survey found that 57% of the population plans to give an average gift of £88. Again, using 57% of a 62.3m population is 35.5m people with an average gift of £88 is £3,124,968,000. Ok, so not all of the 62.3m population is old enough to give money, but assuming an American £bn and an average of £88 given then that’s 27.272m people (43% of the population).
So as I hope I have demonstrated, I don’t pay much attention to surveys and believe that small surveys can be very misleading when attempting to apply the data nationally or globally. This is one of my main gripes about how the economy is valued, measured and planned. I know this may seem like splitting hairs when it comes to surveys about cash gifts at Christmas, but sadly when it comes to the information about the Eurozone and global economy we cannot afford to make such a hash with the numbers, the consequences are rather serious. After all, cooking a 4lb Christmas turkey will have a different impact on your family than a 40lb turkey and no one wants to look like one on the day!
Whilst I’m on the subject here are some recipes for Christmas turkey
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Christmas Turkey – Measure and Weigh2023-12-01T12:48:28+00:00

European Union – Playing without Instructions?

1939: Rules of the Game – Jean Renoir
At the risk of being political, I am going to express my views about mooted changes to the European Union. We might all have a wish or desire for peace and goodwill to all and are perhaps reminded of this as we write and open the Christmas post. We wish for these things, because we would like them to become true (well most of us anyway). However, we are not fool enough to think that peace and goodwill to all is something that occurs with the turn of a calendar date, it is something that it desired, worked towards, but in reality is illusive. We may genuinely want these noble things, but we know that deep down that our own peace is a pre-requisite.
So whilst we might wish for the Europeans to work well together, get along and all be prosperous anyone with an ounce of wisdom knows that wishing is not the same as achieving. Greater European integration of economic and social policy would solve the Eurozone crisis, but only if everyone accepts and adopts the same rules, which they won’t. The self-interests and differences in culture are too significant to overcome with rules. It will fail. Politicians are optimists and often delusional to believe that significant change can be made quickly and an electoral system keeps them needing to believe the optimism rather than dealing with the reality. A single European state cannot police its own rules, having more will not make it easier.
Until politicians recognise that the Euro should be a currency to price international trade, but no more, we will continue to pour more money into a system that will not work. The Euro is only 10 years old, yet to the way the media report on it one would think that national currencies did not exist. We cannot even get our own small scale local Governments to agree so why would this be achieved on a bigger scale? Arguments about pension inflation and accrual rates are inconsequential when considered in light of a homogeneous welfare state, social, taxation and economic policy across Europe.
The way out of the Eurozone problem is painful. It means acknowledging failure and rebuilding. In my opinion it means returning to national currencies. If the Eurozone were a house, a surveyor would be warning that the foundations are faulty. They will not be improved by knocking down a couple of walls and doing some re-wiring.
Sorry, but I do not believe that more rules and greater integration will work and whilst there may be short-term relief (because something is being done) the long term problems will remain. So I remain considerably concerned for Europe.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
European Union – Playing without Instructions?2023-12-01T12:48:29+00:00
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