Hamster Wheel Economics and the Property Game

The Council of Mortgage Lenders recently published data equivalent to the who’s who of lending.  There are few surprises and perhaps further evidence of the 20/80 Pareto rule. The bulk of lending was provided by about 20% of lenders, who secured about 80% of debt. The ‘’big six’’ in order are Lloyds Banking Group, Santander, Barclays, RBS, Nationwide and HSBC. Collectively they provided loans of £110.8bn which is a reduction on the previous year (2009) figure of £119bn. Collectively they hold 81.5% of the market.

In short, this is a problem. I’m not a fan of economics that relies upon debt. Yesterday I heard some quite ludicrous statements from a leading home builder on the radio that went completely unchallenged all of which results in property prices being kept unnaturally high and inflated out of the reach of many people – the vast majority of us could not buy our own homes if they were up for sale today, even in this “depressed market”. It doesn’t matter where you are on the property ladder, the inability of others to buy a home is a problem that eventually impacts us all.

Any market where 6 companies control the bulk of funds is troubling. The over-reliance upon them making good decisions is a flawed scenario, particularly as for the majority of the time they compete with one another and effectively mimic each others decisions. When you consider that all of the top six have acquired other lenders in recent years this merely evidences that market share can be bought and with significant market share, significant power follows – sufficient to “buck” the market.

Naturally the banks (and Building Societies) need to lend responsibly, but these figures demonstrate that lending has shrunk since 2009. I would normally suggest that this is a good thing (sensible lending) but given that the money has really been used to repair their own balance sheets (with the exception of Barclays) this does not help the wider population.

Houses are overpriced. The link between income and borrowing levels is tantamount to insanity. Building companies “helping” people with a deposit may on the surface look like a “nice”gesture but in practice merely fuels the overpricing. Think about it…. a builder offers you 15% of the purchase price (a price set by the builder) so the borrower only needs to find 5% and the lender stumps up the rest. The Builder makes on the sale and on the financing (which is a loan), the lender makes money on the financing and has the first charge over the property.  The borrower actually has a 95% loan on a property that was valued by a builder and endorsed by a surveyor who bases prices on “market value” which is a strangely hamster wheel-like scenario.

Thankfully the number of repossessions in the first half of 2011 fell by 7% against the same period in 2010. However this is still 18,100 repossessions in the first half of 2011 or 3,016 a month – about 100 a day. Those in arrears numbered over 320,000. But what do I know! I’ve been saying for years that property is overpriced and little has really altered and anyway, the CML point to an improving trend and suggest that the mortgage and property markets are improving.

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

Hamster Wheel Economics and the Property Game2023-12-01T12:49:15+00:00

Russian Roulette Retirement – Six Bullets

I apologise in advance for the tone of this piece, but find myself outlining some broad details which many will find akin to teaching grandma to suck the proverbial egg. I’m also conscious that having an image of the poster from the 1978 Robert De Niro film “The Deer Hunter” is stretching the point and I don’t wish to offend anyone with the image.
Let me begin with an obvious statement. We don’t get to decide when we are born. As a consequence we don’t get to decide when we become 65. If you are “lucky” you will be 65 at a point in time when the economic cycle is good, when the markets are rising. Many however, will find that 65 comes at precisely the wrong moment. Many people are playing a game of Russian roulette with their future. You can only control so much – so what can be done?
1. Review your pension and investments. It is vital that the investment strategy ties-in with your planned need to draw capital or income (or both) from your portfolio of whatever. This sounds rather obvious I know, but this is a very common mistake that people make. In essence, the closer you get to the day you need your funds most people will want to have a high degree of certainty and not worry about the state of the global markets. As a result the investments should all be in low risk/low return holdings, possibly cash. Most people do not appreciate that their pension or endowment or whatever has a range of funds, OK often very small, but never-the-less there is a range and invariably this includes low risk funds. In an ideal world you should gradually apply “investment brakes” in a 5-year run up to the date you need the proceeds.
2. Consider what retirement will actually mean for you… many people find the transition from work very difficult, some leave high profile positions and describe life in retirement rather like “being invisible”. There is nothing to stop you earning money/working after a certain age. Certainly much will depend on what the role is and your state of health, but this is something that is within your control. It is important therefore to reflect on what you are likely to do in retirement and what income (if any) you need. By way of example, Robert De Niro turned 65 in August 2008. To date he has worked on a further 14 films since then.
3. The State pension age is being moved around all over the place at the moment by Governments that are unable to deal with maths, economics and social planning. The amount of the pension is being “reviewed” as are the qualification rules. The principle is that everyone (UK domiciled resident taxpayers) should get a full State pension, but quite who qualifies and how much tax or exemptions apply is open to debate. I suspect that for poor reasons, the State pension will one day become means-tested.
4. Ignore the impact of inflation at your peril. Good planning means attempting to maintain your purchasing power. In reality basic utilities, transport and food costs all seem to rise faster than any government approved statistic for inflation (you have been warned).
5. The goalposts keep moving. This is of course meant to be a source of great joy to Financial Advisers and Accountants as it means important things have happened which need explaining. I don’t find myself feeling this way, indeed quite the opposite. The BIG new rules are pretty much these:
5.1 From April 2012 your pension funds must not be worth more than £1.5m. There are some exemptions but all come with a catch. This is known as the Lifetime Allowance.
5.2 The amount paid into pensions per tax year per person has altered. £50,000 is the allowance, but you can use up “2 previous unused years”. Those earning good salaries in defined benefit/final salary pensions also have a complicated formula to calculate the amount that their pension increased by over the year which will restrict their allowance and in some case exceed it leading to a further tax charge. This is known as the annual allowance.
5.3 The need to buy an annuity (annual income for life) has been abolished. That said, most people will end up with one. Whatever you do, DO NOT accept the annuity quote that your pension company sends you. There will be others that are MUCH better. An adviser will sort the best for you. It may be that you have a poor medical history – or smoke, this will lead to a better annuity as, to be blunt, you have less chance of reaching the average age of death.
5.4 If you don’t like the idea of an annuity (giving up some or all of your pension fund to an insurance company in exchange for an income for the remainder of your life and possibly that of your spouse) then you can also now defer taking the annuity – potentially for good (known as DrawDown). You can instead take an income similar to that of an annuity and leave the fund invested. The fund almost certainly needs to grow, so you will have to expose the fund to investment risk. The amount of income is determined by your age, gender, size of the fund and the Government Actuarial Department.
5.5 If you have guaranteed sources of income for life of £20,000 which can include your State pension but not earnings or income from investments, then you can strip all the fund as income if you wish, simply paying the relevant rate of income tax at the time. This is known as Flexible DrawDown The £20,000 limit implies that you won’t return cap in hand to the State once you blow the lot – or if you do, you won’t find a sympathetic ear.
6. Finally (yes I cheated a little with the 5.1-5.5 didn’t I) make sure that you have thought about what you want from life. Generally we don’t control the date of our death, so ask yourself some soul searching questions. Having an enormous pension pot that you worked hard to build, depriving yourself of many “good things” only to die three months into retirement is not a good result. That’s why a good financial planner will ask some pretty personal questions. As I have probably said many times before only “magic” in financial planning to to attempt to ensure that your money does not run out before you do. This of course will prompt some very deep and big questions.
A good financial planner is perhaps a little like Joseph – who managed to make sure that enough was saved  from the years of plenty for use in the years of famine, which ended up saving the entire Egyptian nation. A great financial planner will ensure that you handle the question – how much is enough? 
There is no need to play Russian roulette with your future.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Russian Roulette Retirement – Six Bullets2023-12-01T12:49:16+00:00

Cash ISA rates – latest rates

Little has changed over the bank holiday, unless you count hurricane Irene, the end of a dismal summer, Manchester football teams thumping north London ones, the Dow Jones believing Greek debts aren’t as bad as they thought and the rest of Europe copying America…

One Year Deposit
Online: Leeds Building Society 3.60%
Bank: Santander 4.05
Building Society: Barnsley 5.00%

Two Year Deposit
Online: Nottingham 4.00%
Bank: The Co-Operative 3.75%
Building Society: National Counties 3.76%

Instant Access
Online: Coventry 3.15%
Bank: Santander 2.50%
Building Society: Nottingham 3.25%

Fixed Rate Cash ISA
Online: Clydesdale 4.50%
Bank: Clydesdale 4.50%
Building Society: Barnsley 5.00%

Variable Rate Cash ISA
Online: AA 3.05%
Bank: Santander 4.00%
Building Society: 3.00%

As ever, this is not advice. You should always check the detail – much like checking the contents of a packet of Nurofen Plus (some have been tampered with).

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

Cash ISA rates – latest rates2023-12-01T12:49:17+00:00

Small is beautiful – Great Service Reminder from The Bradley

Every once in a while I come across something really good that leads me to wonder and hope that my clients have a similar experience of my service. If you were in Britain for the August bank holiday weekend, you will be aware that it was a fairly miserable reminder that summer came and went in April and that we are now firmly in Autumn. I spent the weekend with my family in Cheltenham, taking the opportunity to visit my brother who lives nearby as well as our annual trip to Greenbelt, held at the racecourse.

I know myself fairly well and am not good to be around if I sleep badly. Whilst I quite enjoy “proper” camping (by which I mean strapping stuff to your back and hiking – or finding a properly set up camp site) the option of camping on a racecourse is not something that leads to good results for those with me. So for the last few years we have stayed at hotels in Cheltenham.

This year we tried a new hotel, in truth this was partly due to the previous hotel being fully booked (four months in advance). Anyway, we stayed at a delightful boutique hotel – The Bradley. An otherwise large home turned small hotel. There are some people who are simply gifted in “hospitality”. It’s not simply being organised, but a genuine warmth that puts guests at ease. This was displayed in buckets by the hosts and owners of this charming boutique hotel. Fantastic breakfasts, lovely little touches and a high quality experience. We had a fabulous stay. The Bradley is not a state of the art, top of the range 5 star hotel with all the features of a plush west-end pile – but manages to achieve what so many supposedly “great hotels” invariably sadly fail to deliver. The Bradley provided a comfortable, thoughtful, friendly, professional, personal and stylish service that felt more like a good family welcome than a good attempt to conceal that you are just another punter. This is a great small business that knows what it does well and plays to its strengths. Chris and Sue provide a great welcome and run a great business.

As a firm of financial planners, I take a similar approach, but marketing material, however clever fails to really communicate what it is that we attempt to do. It may sound twee, but I do actually care about our clients and want to ensure that they benefit from great financial planning. To be a small business that knows its strengths and provides an excellent service. It is always helpful to be reminded of the difference between good and great service and that size does not matter when this is achieved. Regrettably in many aspects of a normal working day my team and I have to deal with the failings and general folly of many very large financial organisations that seem to have a great reputation, but we’re all left unclear about how they earned them. Having a good financial planner on your side is helpful, having a great one – is an enormous advantage that dare I say even makes the experience of financial planning rather enjoyable! This is what I hope, plan and work to achieve for our clients.

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

Small is beautiful – Great Service Reminder from The Bradley2023-12-01T12:49:17+00:00

How to master disaster

You may have gathered that I’m not one to think that life is a breeze and I can’t resist a great story of triumph. Last night saw airing of the “Walking With The Wounded” charity on BBC1. This is an amazing and fabulous story of courage and triumph over circumstance.
Imagine if you can being a soldier in the British Army, physically fit and able to do just about anything that is required of you physically. Then the horror of a serious wound and the realisation that not only is your career over, but your life has changed considerably.
This is a tale of 4 servicemen back from the war zone, supported by two senior expedition leaders, overcoming the lack of limbs to walk to the North Pole, assisted by the highly amiable HRH Prince Harry who really is “one of the guys” having seen considerable action in his service.  
Last nights episode is now on the BBC i-player and will continue on the BBC. The challenge is enormous and a timely reminder that attitude, not altitude is everything. It is a fabulous story and tremendous organisation.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
How to master disaster2023-12-01T12:49:18+00:00

How To Ruin Your Children – Mildred Pierce

I wonder if you saw the television series “Mildred Pierce” that recently ran on Sky. I am one of those people who likes to see things through to the end, despite my feelings that perhaps this was one of the dullest dramas that I have seen for some time, I struggled with it to conclusion. Sadly, even some of my favourite actors could not salvage this from being a very heavy-handed series that could and should have been an awful lot shorter (by half!). Too much of the idealised mother in the writing and editing. Sadly, this trailer is probably what got such great actors involved with the project, which is otherwise as slow and painful as watching paint dry. HBO should have taken a knife to this and cut it down by 60% or more!

 

The basic plot line was of an American woman (Mildred Pierce) played by Kate Winslet who struggles to come to terms with the disappointments of her life. Her husbands failing business exposes their own marital problems and Mildred is left to find work to provide for her family. No easy task during the great depression of the 1930’s and a society that values people based upon how much and how old their money is.

Mildred becomes something of an entrepreneur, setting up a restaurant which flourishes and multiplies in California. Her business is based upon understanding what the customer wants and providing this with little fuss. One might say – focus. The irony of her inability to successfully understand and parent her children is not lost on the audience which results in possibly the most selfish and grotesque spoiled daughter (Veda) since Scarlett O’Hara.  Mildred constantly attempts to buy her daughters affection and is unable to let her go/grow up which is surprising given how ungrateful Veda is.

Mildred gets into a financial mess by over-stretching herself and some poor but creative accounting. As a consequence she is forced to face a few truths, which she largely ignores and eventually turns to protect the source of her financial ruin, but in doing so finds her daughter (now a prima donna in every possible way) taking her betrayal to its conclusion.

So why do I bring this to your attention? Sadly, wanting something does not make it happen. Mildred wanted to avoid poverty and initially succeeds but failed to think about the life she really wanted to live. She wanted her children to have a better life than she had, but failed to appreciate the difference between capital wealth and emotional wealth. She wanted a good marriage, but failed to invest in her relationship. She wanted a good business, but failed to take the advice of those that cared about its success.

The flush of early success can be enchanting for many, but how to wisely handle wealth is a skill that does not come quickly. Our culture tends to view the accumulation of money as the measure of wealth and success, yet we all know that this is a very flawed measure. Cast an eye on many of the wealthy despots around the world. Emotional wealth and security are vital ingredients in understanding how to handle money well. This is something that a good financial planner will prompt for thought and perhaps discussion. This is not a terribly “British” topic, yet we can observe the evidence of a history of lives in ruin of people who seemed to “have it all”. This is why I believe that to achieve great financial planning, I need to understand the values and aspirations of my clients. I do this without judgement, but I may challenge assumptions and motivations so that everyone is clear about the purpose and objective behind the plan.

So if you want to ruin your children, spoil them rotten and teach them as little as possible about the value of money or hard work. Keep them in the dark about how finances impact decisions and above all give them everything you can and ideally everything you never had yourself. This is not a strategy I would advise.

***

On Sunday 18th September 2011, Kate Winslett won an Emmy for her role as did Guy Pearce both for their acting.

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

How To Ruin Your Children – Mildred Pierce2023-12-01T12:49:19+00:00

Cash ISAs – Beware Of The Headline Rate

 

Here are the details of some of the top rates around. As we live in a litigious culture please remember that this is not advice or a recommendation. Indeed my own view of some of these products is could not be described as favourable – some are entirely misleading and should concern the FSA in regard to how these accounts are “identified” and marketed.

One Year Deposit

Online: Leeds Building Society 3.60%

Bank: Santander 4.05%

Building Society: Chelsea 5.00%

Two Year Deposit

Online: Bank of Ireland 4.00%

Bank: Co-Operative 3.75%

Building Society: National Counties 3.76%

Instant Access

Online: Coventry Building Society 3.15%

Bank: Santander 2.50%

Building Society: Nottingham 3.25%

Fixed Rate Cash ISA

Online: Clydesdale 4.50%

Bank: Clydesdale 4.50%

Building Society: Chelsea 5.00%

Variable Rate Cash ISA

Online: AA 3.05%

Bank: Santander 4.00%

Building Society: 3.00%

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

Cash ISAs – Beware Of The Headline Rate2023-12-01T12:49:19+00:00

Turmoil Continues

The global markets remain highly volatile and values have fallen further this week. This is primarily driven by fear that it will take longer than expected to return to economic growth. The media glibly use terminology that is highly inflammatory and loaded with sensationalism. The reality is that we are in a global recession, we have not and had not left this behind us. The graphs may suggest a “double dip” but in reality this is merely a valuation chart and little more. The economic data has been weak and I think we are all aware that Governments around the world have also been somewhat insipid in their ability to restructure economies.
When I was on my holiday in America in July/August I was struck by the general folly of American politicians and the lack of retail activity. Admittedly my ad hoc sampling of the shopping experience (which was deliberately limited) was hardly scientific, but I was struck by how few shoppers there were. Consumers are generally very concerned about budgets and affordability (not before time!) this filters through to slow retail sales and lacklustre growth.
The current turmoil is sadly a reflection of a lack of faith in the ability of economies to recover quickly or Government’s to make a difference quickly. Gold has continued to be a “safe-haven” and prices continue to rise making it expensive. Cash is currently providing a guaranteed loss (interest rates below inflation rates) so investors are stuck with what appears to be a lose-lose choice. Bonds are normally a helpful low risk investment, but essentially being issued by Governments, remain a risk due to the ability of Governments to meet their liabilities.
What will help? frankly reform of the system – particularly the tax system which needs to properly address the question “how do you raise tax revenue without alienating the population and dis-incentivising them?” Answers on a postcard please.
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Turmoil Continues2023-12-01T12:49:20+00:00

Lessons From The Past – The Help

I was at a special showing of a new film that is on release in the US at the moment. “The Help” which stars a great ensemble cast is about small town American bigotry in the 1960’s. The film is based on Kathryn Stockett’s 2009 novel which has reached 5m sales. Not bad for a debut novel. I think she even has a cameo role in the film.

The story is about life in Jackson, Mississippi during the 1960’s. The marketing of the film is that this is from a black maid’s perspective. In truth it is really a white woman’s attempt to understand her perspective and experience. A story of courage, friendship, dignity, peer pressure, social conformity and love. Whilst in reality this is this a new story (written in 2009) it is still all too staggering to believe that this was only 40-50 years ago in America’s recent past.

As our media currently gets itself into a tangle about the where, why and how of the recent rioting this is a timely reminder about the pernicious nature of the failure of people to speak up and to demand a fair and just world, because of their own inability to listen, understand or to accept that their version of life may not be completely accurate. Martin Luther King’s words still call us to “not be judged by the colour of their skin but by the content of their character”.

If there is any doubt about my position – I’m with Mr King every time. Sadly the film is not released in the UK until 28th October 2011. It’s a great movie with powerful portrayals and one that ought to be shown here  earlier to remind people what a real cause is all about, but also to remind us that courage and friendship are the foundations towards peace.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1GYmhc8Xk8g

Dominic Thomas
Solomons IFA

You can read more articles about Pensions, Wealth Management, Retirement, Investments, Financial Planning and Estate Planning on my blog which gets updated every week. If you would like to talk to me about your personal wealth planning and how we can make you stay wealthier for longer then please get in touch by calling 08000 736 273 or email info@solomonsifa.co.uk

Lessons From The Past – The Help2023-12-01T12:49:21+00:00

Market Updates

I know that not everyone has access to the internet or an email account so today I have written to all clients regarding the current turmoil in the markets. As I write the global markets are reflecting a more positive day, never-the-less the nervousness across global markets is unlikely to reduce considerably in the short-term. If you have any questions or thoughts as a result of my letter please do get in touch. 
We are a boutique firm of financial planners. We create financial plans designed to achieve a desired lifestyle. We will craft and implement your plan that will provide you with the greatest chance of accomplishing your unique goals based upon the values that you hold. Financial products are little more than the tools to achieve your required results
Call us today or visit our website for more information and to arrange a meeting
Market Updates2023-12-01T12:49:21+00:00
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